I've just begun the initial breakdown of various positions, and one thing that really jumped at me is the fact that the top WR's in the league appear to be a dime a dozen. What I mean by this, is that you can take about 15 WR's, and almost rank them in just about any order. Sure, some guys are going to be in more ideal situations, and some guys scored many more fantasy points last year than other guys, but I could easily see any one of these 15 or so guys end up the year as the No.1 guy in Fantasy Points in the WR category. Just look at last year. Brandon Lloyd last year was the No.1 WR in points scored in my league. Brandon FREAKING Lloyd. Dude wasn't even drafted in my league, and ended up being a early FA acquisition. No. 2 was Dwyane Bowe. We all know that Bowe has talent, but nobody could have foreseen him being one of the top two guys for fantasy points at that position.
Here is a group of guys at WR, any of which could be this years Brandon Lloyd, or this years Dwayne Bowe:
in no particular order
etc, etc, etc.
I just listed 18 guys, and I could easily list another 5 to 10 guys that might sneak into the top 5 when this year is all said and done. So… what can we take away from all of this? Well, unless you have a crystal ball, and can determine with some sense of certainty, I wouldn't put much stock in trying to grab a super stud WR too early, because you could EASILY swing and miss. Now, obviously, don't get it twisted…. You're going to want some top guys from that list, but basically, I just wouldn't worry too much when some of those names start falling off the board, as long as you get two of those 18 guys, you'll probably be ok. It might be better to get one of the higher end QB's, (maybe two of them, 1 to dangle as trade bait after the smoke clears), or maybe even snag one of the super elite TE's much earlier than normal.
What do you guys think?